3
Melius Avis
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Jarnac - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#7
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-20 | La Capelle | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | La Capelle | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | Chartres | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 23/03/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 47% | +0.47 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 19/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 07/05/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 19/06/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 20/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |
| 29/07/2026 | 2nd | 28/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 26/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |