16
Mickey De Crennes
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Jarnac - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength18%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-09-09 | Angers | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-25 | Cabourg | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Argentan | 4 | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-07-28 | Cabourg | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 3-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/03/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 73% | +0.67 |
| 15/03/2026 | 6th | 28/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 22/05/2026 | 1st | 25/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 15/07/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 93% | +0.93 |
| 08/08/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 19/09/2026 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |