8
Lannister D'avril
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Du Cotentin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
70%
Place Prob
39%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼7
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 14 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C11.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +7.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Vincennes | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | Salon-De-Provence | 4 | 7th | -10th | +14 |
| 2026-04-27 | Enghien | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | Enghien | 18 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1454% of fieldRange 5-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/01/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 06/02/2026 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 91% | +0.28 |
| 24/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 16/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 94% | +0.15 |
| 27/04/2026 | 10th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 21/05/2026 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 02/06/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 64% | -0.04 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 77% | +0.72 |
| 27/06/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 36% | +0.31 |