10

Listel D'urzy
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Du Cotentin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼13
Strength0%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 13 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +13.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Pornichet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | +13 | ||
| 2026-02-18 | Laval | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Vincennes | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1477% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend +0.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 90% | +0.22 |
| 12/03/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 87% | +0.87 |
| 06/04/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 10/07/2025 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 56% | +0.13 |
| 06/10/2025 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 94% | +0.41 |
| 28/10/2025 | 9th | 15/2 | 61% | 47% | -0.14 |
| 18/02/2026 | 13th | 80/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/07/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 26/08/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |