3

Locked Up
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Du Cotentin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
10%
Place Prob
15%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼13
Strength28%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 13 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 18
Class gap: +13.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-19 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-01 | Nantes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Nantes | 5 | 8th | -8th | +13 |
| 2026-05-04 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1462% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength51%
Delivery trend +1.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 14.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 1st | 13/2 | 66% | 100% | +0.34 |
| 26/06/2025 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |
| 06/08/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 21/08/2025 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 58% | +0.53 |
| 01/09/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 14/05/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 01/06/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 83% | -0.01 |
| 29/06/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 44% | +0.39 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |