Lutin Jaba
5yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix Du Cotentin - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 4 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 14 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 5.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | -5th | +14 |
| 2026-08-17 | Lisieux | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cabourg | 4 | 10th | -7th | +14 |
| 2026-07-16 | Pornichet | 4 | +14 | ||
| 2026-06-27 | Enghien | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-30 | Vincennes | 4 | 12th | -5th | +14 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +7.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/02/2025 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 86% | +0.00 |
| 05/04/2025 | 6th | 11/10 | 94% | 58% | -0.36 |
| 06/05/2025 | 10th | 12/1 | 37% | 31% | -0.06 |
| 14/05/2025 | 5th | 1/1 | 95% | 67% | -0.28 |
| 30/05/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 22% | -0.41 |
| 30/04/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |
| 24/07/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 31% | +0.31 |
| 17/08/2026 | 8th | 125/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 04/09/2026 | 12th | 125/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |