8
J'envisage Dubrio
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Nantua - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#2
Rank
Odds
13/8
Win Prob
16%
Place Prob
18%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength28%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.5
Today: 5
Class gap: +0.5
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Vincennes | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-13 | Pornichet | 6 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Enghien | 4 | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-07-04 | Enghien | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-22 | Caen | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Feurs | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +2.4% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/8 | 93% | 93% | +0.01 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 93% | +0.14 |
| 02/04/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 20/04/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 80% | -0.07 |
| 22/06/2026 | 12th | 7/2 | 82% | 15% | -0.66 |
| 04/07/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 88% | +0.40 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 75% | -0.14 |
| 13/08/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 73% | +0.36 |