6

Jealous Girl
7yo Mare · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Nantua - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#1
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
60%
Place Prob
35%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.5
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Mauquenchy | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Strasbourg | 6 | −1 | ||
| 2026-08-12 | Enghien | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | La Capelle | 5 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Amiens | 6 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-23 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 7-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength1%
Delivery trend -3.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/04/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 07/05/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 46% | +0.46 |
| 04/06/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 12/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 90% | +0.53 |
| 23/06/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 63% | -0.26 |
| 10/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 38% | -0.39 |
| 12/08/2026 | 13th | 40/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 10/09/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |