5
Joyeux Du Vivien
7yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Nantua - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.6 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.7
Today: 5
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Meslay Du Maine | 5 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Agen | 5 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-07 | Lisieux | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-04-26 | Chartres | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-28 | Laval | 7 | 11th | 13th | −2 |
| 2025-11-13 | Amiens | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 3-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength37%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/03/2024 | 8th | 66/1 | 0% | 59% | +0.59 |
| 30/08/2024 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 02/05/2025 | 4th | 80/1 | 0% | 81% | +0.81 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 92% | +0.13 |
| 28/03/2026 | 11th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 15/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |