7
Marius Des Tours
4yo Gelding · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De Thomery - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#8
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.9 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Chatelaillon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Laval | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Les Sables | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-10 | Chatelaillon | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Caen | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +9.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/05/2025 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 14/05/2025 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 77% | -0.09 |
| 22/03/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 85% | +0.03 |
| 25/04/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 62% | +0.35 |
| 10/05/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 44% | -0.19 |
| 02/06/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 75% | +0.22 |
| 03/08/2026 | 6th | 66/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 31/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |