5
Marius Du Clos
4yo Gelding · 9-10
Enghien · Prix De Thomery - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
16/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 5.1)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C6.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -2.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Nancy | 7 | 6th | 10th | −3 |
| 2026-06-13 | Vichy | 5 | −1 | ||
| 2025-10-04 | Cabourg | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-26 | Cabourg | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 4-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength25%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 70% | +0.12 |
| 22/07/2025 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 26/08/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 40% | +0.24 |
| 04/10/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 26/06/2026 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 30/07/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 31/08/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |