7
Ma Talou Joly
4yo Filly · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De Mauperthuis - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#6
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-20 | Pornichet | 5 | 9th | 10th | −1 |
| 2026-05-21 | Le Mans | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-04-03 | Toulouse | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-03-17 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-02-26 | Laval | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1044% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength56%
Delivery trend -4.1% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/05/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 24/06/2025 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 30/07/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 57% | +0.15 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 78% | +0.36 |
| 26/02/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 82% | +0.27 |
| 17/03/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 03/04/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 78% | -0.06 |
| 21/05/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 78% | +0.51 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |