3
Magie De Fleur
4yo Filly · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De Mauperthuis - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Vire | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Caen | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-18 | Vire | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-09 | Graignes | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-02-03 | Vincennes | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-01-13 | Vincennes | 5 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1078% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength64%
Delivery trend -1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/12/2025 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 93% | +0.24 |
| 13/01/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 56% | -0.10 |
| 09/02/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 89% | +0.31 |
| 18/05/2026 | 6th | 11/2 | 71% | 64% | -0.07 |
| 15/06/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 83% | +0.25 |
| 06/09/2026 | 4th | 11/2 | 71% | 73% | +0.02 |