10
Marbella Chafs
4yo Filly · 9-8
Enghien · Prix De Mauperthuis - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#3
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-17 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-26 | Vincennes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Le Mans | 6 | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
| 2026-06-19 | Vincennes | 4 | 0 | ||
| 2026-05-27 | Caen | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Vincennes | ? | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/2025 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 18/03/2025 | 4th | 6/5 | 94% | 50% | -0.44 |
| 12/07/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 27/08/2025 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |
| 16/09/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 17/10/2025 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 44% | +0.08 |
| 27/05/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 83% | +0.83 |
| 26/08/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 55% | +0.55 |