9

Marianne
4yo Filly · 8-11
Enghien · Prix De Mauperthuis - Monte · 1m 6f 64y
#10
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 4
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Vincennes | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Divonne Les Bains | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-07-26 | Enghien | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-14 | La Capelle | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Nancy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-03 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 5-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%
Delivery trend -1.4% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/02/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 03/05/2026 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 82% | -0.06 |
| 29/05/2026 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 88% | -0.03 |
| 14/06/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 73% | +0.10 |
| 20/08/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 62% | -0.24 |
| 31/08/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 67% | +0.30 |