5
Noble Diable Mef
3yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Courcelles - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#4
Rank
Odds
25/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.5 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-29 | Lisieux | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-15 | Lisieux | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1367% of fieldRange 4-13 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength28%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 07/08/2026 | 9th | 18/1 | 5% | 33% | +0.28 |
| 29/08/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 19/09/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |