7
Nowak Bonbon
3yo Colt · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De La Porte De Courcelles - Attele · 1m 2f 151y
#3
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
9%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C5.0
Today: 5
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-19 | Cabourg | 5 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-09-06 | Craon | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-08-07 | Cabourg | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Meslay Du Maine | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 6-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength42%
Delivery trend -40.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 92% | +0.92 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 58% | +0.43 |
| 19/09/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 78% | +0.12 |