As One Does
6yo Horse · 8-12 · OR 85
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#4
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 3 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 5.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-22 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 7th | 4th | +3 |
| 2026-03-01 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 6th | 3rd | +3 |
| 2026-01-31 | Sam Houston Race Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-08-22 | Canterbury Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-03-31 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/12/2023 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 13% | -0.56 |
| 09/05/2024 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 29% | -0.37 |
| 22/12/2024 | 6th | 3/1 | 84% | 55% | -0.30 |
| 31/03/2025 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 22/08/2025 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 80% | +0.22 |
| 31/01/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/03/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 29% | -0.19 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 14/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |