4
Black White N Gold
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 6.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-10 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-21 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 620% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%
Delivery trend +5.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 25% | -0.41 |
| 13/11/2025 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 86% | -0.01 |
| 20/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 21/02/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 13% | -0.35 |
| 05/03/2026 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 13% | -0.14 |
| 10/04/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 02/05/2026 | 10th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 11/09/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |