2
Rocket Hotshot
8yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
15%
Place Prob
23%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-05 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 6100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▬
Strength100%
Delivery trend -0.3% per run
What the projection says
Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/10/2025 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 26/10/2025 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 17/05/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 04/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 71% | +0.00 |
| 05/07/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 25% | -0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 67% | -0.04 |
| 11/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |