5

Bee Bluff
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 73
Fairmount Park · Race 3 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-21 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-03-27 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 70% of fieldRange 3-6 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength42%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 7th of 7.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/05/2025 | 3rd | 9/4 | 88% | 71% | -0.17 |
| 01/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 07/03/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 27/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 21/04/2026 | 2nd | 2/7 | 99% | 88% | -0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 1st | 9/1 | 53% | 100% | +0.47 |
| 07/07/2026 | 3rd | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 04/08/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 63% | +0.02 |
| 18/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 25% | -0.36 |