Gun It And Run It

5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 75

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y

Rank

Odds

9/2

Win Prob

Place Prob

10%

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark

Move▼1

Strength61%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 5.3)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.2

Today:

Class gap: +1.3

Higher-class runs: 4

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-08-29	Fairmount Park	?	3rd	1st	+2	9.4
2026-07-25	Fairmount Park	?	7th	5th	+2	5.4
2026-07-04	Fairmount Park	?	2nd	0th	+2	5.0
2026-05-23	Fairmount Park	?	6th	4th	+2	6.4
2025-12-19	Turfway Park	?	9th	9th	0	1.0
2025-11-14	Churchill Downs	?	6th	6th	0	4.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%

▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price

Trend▼

Strength46%

Delivery trend -10.8% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
09/08/2025	3rd	14/1	26%	71%	+0.45
21/09/2025	2nd	16/1	16%	67%	+0.51
16/10/2025	2nd	16/1	16%	91%	+0.75
14/11/2025	6th	20/1	0%	38%	+0.38
19/12/2025	9th	50/1	0%	11%	+0.11
23/05/2026	6th	20/1	0%	29%	+0.29
04/07/2026	2nd	15/2	61%	83%	+0.23
25/07/2026	7th	9/1	53%	0%	-0.53
29/08/2026	3rd	15/2	61%	50%	-0.11