Mike's Last Call
3yo Gelding · 8-8 · OR 52
Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y
#7
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Held its own mid-division in 6 of 6 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 6.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 9th | 7th | +2 |
| 2026-06-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2025-09-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-08-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-07-15 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +4.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 26/08/2025 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 09/09/2025 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 44% | +0.29 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 43% | +0.17 |
| 20/06/2026 | 9th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 01/09/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |