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6

Senor Ruben

4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 33

Fairmount Park · Race 4 - Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▼2
Strength82%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.8
Today:
Class gap: +1.7
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Fairmount Park 25/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS25/10C6C6 @ Fairmount Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 47 · 5f Slo 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/04/2026 · OR 47 par18/04C6OR 47C6 @ Fairmount Park 09/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 59 · 5f110y Gd 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark09/05/2026 · OR 59 par9/05C6OR 59C6 @ Fairmount Park 18/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 10 · OR 49 · 6f 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark18/07/2026 · OR 49 par18/07C6OR 49C6 @ Fairmount Park 01/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR 34 · 6f Fas 124 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark01/09/2026 · OR 34 par1/09C6OR 34projClass-projected finish: 4th of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-01Fairmount Park?5th3rd+2
2026-07-18Fairmount Park?10th8th+2
2026-05-09Fairmount Park?1st-1th+2
2026-04-18Fairmount Park?2nd0th+2
2025-10-25Fairmount Park?5th3rd+2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/1018/049/0518/071/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength85%

Delivery trend +17.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/10/20255th7/491%43%-0.48
18/04/20262nd6/594%83%-0.10
09/05/20261st8/1597%100%+0.03
18/07/202610th20/10%0%0.00
01/09/20265th16/116%50%+0.34