Little Sass
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 71
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
10%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 6 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.8)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-06-18 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-05-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2025-11-11 | Horseshoe Indianapolis | ? | 9th | 8th | +1 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -3.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/2025 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 20% | -0.43 |
| 21/08/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 23/09/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 11/11/2025 | 9th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 07/05/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 20% | +0.04 |
| 28/05/2026 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 18/06/2026 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 40% | -0.28 |
| 12/07/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |