Sharp Attack
5yo Mare · 8-12 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-11 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-06-25 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -6.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 78% | -0.09 |
| 26/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 50% | -0.11 |
| 14/05/2026 | 3rd | 2/5 | 98% | 50% | -0.48 |
| 04/06/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 25/06/2026 | 1st | 4/6 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 12/07/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 01/08/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 29% | -0.48 |
| 11/08/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 01/09/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |