2
Takethesilver
5yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 62
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength29%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Turfway Park | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-01-02 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend +0.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2025 | 8th | 9/1 | 53% | 30% | -0.23 |
| 26/11/2025 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/12/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 82% | +0.34 |
| 02/01/2026 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 63% | +0.47 |
| 12/02/2026 | 11th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 28/04/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 14/1 | 26% | 100% | +0.74 |