7
Wild Tapit
8yo Mare · 9-0 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 5 - Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
3/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-27 | Turfway Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-09-02 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength62%
Delivery trend -3.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 27/05/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 09/08/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 67% | -0.24 |
| 02/09/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 50% | -0.37 |
| 21/10/2025 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 20% | -0.48 |
| 27/12/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 9/4 | 88% | 50% | -0.38 |
| 01/09/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 67% | -0.15 |