3
Chryso Alogo
5yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 94
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#3
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 6th | −2 |
| 2026-05-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-14 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2025-11-12 | Churchill Downs | ? | 3rd | 5th | −2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 525% of fieldRange 3-5 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength16%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 5. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/09/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 14/10/2025 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 60% | -0.32 |
| 12/11/2025 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 71% | -0.05 |
| 14/04/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 57% | -0.32 |
| 12/05/2026 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 57% | -0.35 |
| 01/08/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 15/8 | 90% | 56% | -0.35 |