1
Committee Of One
5yo Horse · 9-0 · OR 90
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#1
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
98%
Place Prob
85%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 5 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.9
Today:
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-29 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-05-16 | Churchill Downs | ? | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2025-04-30 | Churchill Downs | ? | 1st | 3rd | −2 |
| 2025-03-07 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 5100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength72%
Delivery trend -0.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/11/2024 | 6th | 12/1 | 37% | 55% | +0.18 |
| 21/12/2024 | 9th | 11/2 | 71% | 27% | -0.44 |
| 03/01/2025 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 07/03/2025 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 43% | -0.05 |
| 30/04/2025 | 1st | 13/8 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 16/05/2025 | 8th | 7/1 | 63% | 0% | -0.63 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 28/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 29/08/2026 | 2nd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |