2

Goodasiwonswas

7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 99

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#2

Rank

Odds

1/1

Win Prob

2%

Place Prob

13%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▲1
Strength0%

What the class read says

Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Ellis Park 03/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 102 · 6f110y Fas 122 · beat its mark03/07/2025 · OR 102 par3/07C6OR 102C6 @ Saratoga 02/08/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR 102 · 7f 124 · below its mark02/08/2025 · OR 102 parC7 @ Belmont At The Big A 18/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 104 · 6f Fas 123 · below its mark18/10/2025 · OR 104 par18/10C7OR 104C8 @ Churchill Downs 20/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 107 · 6f Slo 120 · beat its mark20/11/2025 · OR 107 parC8 @ Oaklawn Park 20/02/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR 108 · 6f 118 · beat its mark20/02/2026 · OR 108 par20/02C8OR 108C7 @ Oaklawn Park 18/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 103 · 6f Fas 124 · below its mark18/04/2026 · OR 103 parC6 @ Churchill Downs 17/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR 104 · 7f Slo 121 · below its mark17/05/2026 · OR 104 par17/05C6OR 104C6 @ Hawthorne 07/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 101 · 6f110y 123 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 101 parC6 @ Fairmount Park 29/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 100 · 6f 124 · beat its mark29/08/2026 · OR 100 par29/08C6OR 100projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-29Fairmount Park?1st1st0
2026-06-07Hawthorne?4th4th0
2026-05-17Churchill Downs?8th8th0
2026-04-18Oaklawn Park?3rd4th−1
2026-02-20Oaklawn Park?1st3rd−2
2025-11-20Churchill Downs?1st3rd−2

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0720/1117/0529/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 575% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength80%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 5. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20251st15/261%100%+0.39
02/08/20254th14/126%70%+0.44
18/10/20255th9/488%33%-0.55
20/11/20251st9/276%100%+0.24
20/02/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
18/04/20263rd9/153%67%+0.14
17/05/20268th12/137%30%-0.07
07/06/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
29/08/20261st10/382%100%+0.18