Journey
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 87
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#4
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-11-02 | Hawthorne | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-09-25 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2025-08-24 | Hawthorne | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 25% | -0.62 |
| 06/07/2025 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/08/2025 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 24/08/2025 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |
| 25/09/2025 | 1st | 1/4 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 12/10/2025 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 67% | +0.14 |
| 02/11/2025 | 4th | 8/1 | 58% | 63% | +0.05 |
| 04/06/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 28/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 50% | -0.03 |