
Rexford
6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 101
Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
2/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Remington Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-06-07 | Santa Anita | ? | 6th | 8th | −2 |
| 2026-03-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-02-02 | Will Rogers Downs | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-01-03 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2025-11-25 | Zia Park | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/10/2025 | 7th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 04/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 17/11/2025 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 25/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 03/01/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 02/02/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 02/03/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 40% | +0.03 |