6

Rexford

6yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 101

Fairmount Park · Race 6 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 6f

#5

Rank

Odds

2/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength26%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.9 /10 (raw 3.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Santa Anita 03/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 98 · 6f 124 · below its mark03/10/2025 · OR 98 par3/10C8OR 98C5 @ Zia Park 04/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 99 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark04/11/2025 · OR 99 parC6 @ Zia Park 17/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR 96 · 5f 123 · beat its mark17/11/2025 · OR 96 par17/11C6OR 96C5 @ Zia Park 25/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 100 · 6f 121 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark25/11/2025 · OR 100 parC5 @ Oaklawn Park 03/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR 108 · 6f Fas 117 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark03/01/2026 · OR 108 par3/01C5OR 108C5 @ Will Rogers Downs 02/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 105 · 6f Fas 120 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark02/02/2026 · OR 105 parC5 @ Will Rogers Downs 02/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 98 · 6f Fas 126 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark02/03/2026 · OR 98 par2/03C5OR 98C8 @ Santa Anita 07/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 6 · OR 97 · 6f Fm 124 · below its mark07/06/2026 · OR 97 parC5 @ Remington Park 22/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 102 · 5f Fm 124 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark22/08/2026 · OR 102 par22/08C5OR 102projClass-projected finish: 4th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Remington Park?4th3rd+1
2026-06-07Santa Anita?6th8th−2
2026-03-02Will Rogers Downs?1st0th+1
2026-02-02Will Rogers Downs?4th3rd+1
2026-01-03Oaklawn Park?8th7th+1
2025-11-25Zia Park?3rd2nd+1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/1025/112/0322/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 550% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength93%

Delivery trend +1.5% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 5.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/10/20257th16/116%0%-0.16
04/11/20253rd7/491%71%-0.19
17/11/20251st9/488%100%+0.12
25/11/20253rd10/147%50%+0.03
03/01/20268th50/10%13%+0.13
02/02/20264th13/891%40%-0.51
02/03/20261st10/382%100%+0.18
07/06/20266th20/10%0%0.00
22/08/20264th12/137%40%+0.03