8
Halo Honey
4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 66
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength2%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 3.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-28 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-09-30 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 733% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 7. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06/2025 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 83% | +0.68 |
| 05/08/2025 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 20% | -0.67 |
| 26/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 83% | +0.10 |
| 30/09/2025 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 18/10/2025 | 1st | 7/4 | 91% | 100% | +0.09 |
| 28/10/2025 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 40% | -0.42 |
| 28/04/2026 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 25% | -0.38 |
| 09/06/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 20% | -0.41 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/2 | 71% | 0% | -0.71 |