3
Richiesgoldengirl
4yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 64
Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y
#6
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength7%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 2.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C6.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 4th | −2 |
| 2026-06-07 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2024-09-08 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 750% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength79%
Delivery trend +8.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 7. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09/2024 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |
| 07/06/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 0% | -0.79 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 82% | -0.04 |
| 25/08/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |