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6

Zee

3yo Filly · 8-6 · OR 87

Fairmount Park · Race 7 - Allowance Optional Claiming · 5f 110y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/5

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#3

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength27%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 1.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Hawthorne 17/08/2025 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 5f 11917/08C6C6 @ Hawthorne 07/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR 67 · 5f 119 · beat its mark07/09/2025 · OR 67 par7/09C6OR 67C5 @ Hawthorne 19/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR 78 · 6f110y Gd 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark19/10/2025 · OR 78 par19/10C5OR 78C5 @ Hawthorne 21/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 80 · 5f Fm 117 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark21/05/2026 · OR 80 par21/05C5OR 80C5 @ Hawthorne 25/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 6 · OR 84 · 5f Fas 118 · HIGHER CLASS · beat its mark25/06/2026 · OR 84 par25/06C5OR 84C6 @ Hawthorne 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR 80 · 7f110y 121 · beat its mark19/07/2026 · OR 80 par19/07C6OR 80projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-19Hawthorne?2nd2nd0
2026-06-25Hawthorne?1st0th+1
2026-05-21Hawthorne?3rd2nd+1
2025-10-19Hawthorne?2nd1st+1
2025-09-07Hawthorne?1st2nd−1
2025-08-17Hawthorne?2nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today17/087/0919/1021/0525/0619/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 783% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▬
Strength98%

Delivery trend +1.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 7.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
17/08/20252nd7/491%86%-0.05
07/09/20251st7/491%100%+0.09
19/10/20252nd6/594%80%-0.14
21/05/20263rd9/276%67%-0.10
25/06/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
19/07/20262nd9/276%83%+0.07