9
Mr. Sweets
4yo Gelding · 8-12 · OR 74
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#7
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength16%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-12 | Hawthorne | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-28 | Hawthorne | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-06-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | Hawthorne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 829% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength63%
Delivery trend +4.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 6th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/02/2026 | 6th | 9/4 | 88% | 17% | -0.71 |
| 08/03/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 29/03/2026 | 10th | 6/1 | 68% | 0% | -0.68 |
| 15/04/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |
| 14/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 80% | +0.04 |
| 14/06/2026 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 28/06/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 17% | -0.41 |
| 12/07/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 67% | +0.51 |
| 25/08/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |