2
Santino's Fantasy
6yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 68
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-08 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Fairmount Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Fairmount Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-26 | Fairmount Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%
Delivery trend +13.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/04/2026 | 7th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 25/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 80% | +0.09 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 43% | -0.39 |
| 26/05/2026 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 20/06/2026 | 4th | 6/4 | 92% | 50% | -0.42 |
| 07/07/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 17% | -0.49 |
| 04/08/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 25/08/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 08/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 44% | +0.44 |