Truist
7yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 67
Fairmount Park · Race 8 - Claiming · 6f
#8
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 5th | 3rd | +2 |
| 2026-04-25 | Fairmount Park | ? | 4th | 2nd | +2 |
| 2025-10-21 | Fairmount Park | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-16 | Fairmount Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +8.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/2025 | 5th | 7/2 | 82% | 0% | -0.82 |
| 12/08/2025 | 4th | 16/1 | 16% | 57% | +0.41 |
| 26/08/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 16/09/2025 | 2nd | 15/8 | 90% | 75% | -0.15 |
| 21/10/2025 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 14% | -0.54 |
| 25/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 16/05/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 18/07/2026 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 12/09/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 25% | -0.12 |