Dorothy
2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 67
Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.8 /10 (raw 3.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 1st | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +5.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 25% | -0.59 |
| 02/05/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 19/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |
| 09/08/2026 | 4th | 13/8 | 91% | 40% | -0.51 |
| 04/09/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 75% | -0.13 |