Jack's Honey

2yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 60

Gulfstream · Race 1 - Maiden Claiming · 1m

Rank

Odds

4/1

Win Prob

Place Prob

Rank

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE

▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark

Move▼3

Strength78%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.

Held its own mid-division in 2 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.

Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:

Recent avg: C6.0

Today:

Class gap: +2.5

Higher-class runs: 2

Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today

Date	Course	Cls	Pos	Adj	Gap	Adj Score
2026-09-12	Gulfstream	?	6th	3rd	+3	7.0
2026-08-16	Gulfstream	?	7th	4th	+3	6.0

Position-In-Market Trend

Expected Actual Regression 68% CI

Projected finish4th of 963% of fieldRange 2-2 · 68%

▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price

Trend▲

Strength89%

Delivery trend +39.1% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 4th of 9. Recent form is on the up.

Date	Pos	SP	Exp	Act	Δ
16/08/2026	7th	11/2	71%	0%	-0.71
12/09/2026	6th	15/2	61%	29%	-0.32