5
Ganador
3yo Colt · 8-10 · OR 78
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.1 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 100% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -6.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 63% | -0.03 |
| 15/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 01/03/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 09/04/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 19/06/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 0% | -0.61 |
| 03/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 25/07/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 17/08/2026 | 6th | 7/1 | 63% | 17% | -0.46 |
| 05/09/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 14% | -0.44 |