6
Giuro
5yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 80
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.3 /10 (raw 6.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1011% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength44%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 9th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/2026 | 4th | 40/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 22/03/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 04/04/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 30/04/2026 | 6th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 75% | +0.59 |
| 03/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 25/07/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 67% | +0.40 |
| 17/08/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 50% | +0.13 |
| 05/09/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 57% | -0.03 |