4
Give Me Options
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 73
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▲1
Strength6%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.3
Today:
Class gap: -0.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-18 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-06-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-06-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1089% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/06/2025 | 7th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 28/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 86% | +0.49 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 02/08/2026 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 05/09/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 86% | +0.28 |