8

Kissintheladies

4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 61

Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readPROGRESSIVE
▲ AHEAD OF MARKedges past its mark
Move▲1
Strength12%

What the class read says

Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own. Its finishes have been edging past what its mark implies.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC6 @ Gulfstream 19/10/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 5f Fm 121 · HIGHER CLASS19/10C6C6 @ Tampa Bay Downs 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 69 · 6f Fas 122 · HIGHER CLASS · below its mark29/11/2025 · OR 69 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/02/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR 70 · 6f Gd 122 · below its mark28/02/2026 · OR 70 par28/02C9OR 70C9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 28/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 61 · 1m Fm 126 · below its mark28/03/2026 · OR 61 parC9 @ Tampa Bay Downs 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 6 · OR 54 · 6f 125 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 54 par12/04C9OR 54C9 @ Gulfstream 06/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR 44 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark06/06/2026 · OR 44 parC9 @ Colonial Downs 09/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR 42 · 5f110y Gd 124 · beat its mark09/07/2026 · OR 42 par9/07C9OR 42C9 @ Gulfstream 02/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 6 · OR 40 · 1m Fm 123 · beat its mark02/08/2026 · OR 40 parC9 @ Gulfstream 22/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 48 · 1m Fm 125 · beat its mark22/08/2026 · OR 48 par22/08C9OR 48projClass-projected finish: 6th of 10
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Gulfstream?1st2nd−1
2026-08-02Gulfstream?3rd4th−1
2026-07-09Colonial Downs?5th6th−1
2026-06-06Gulfstream?12th13th−1
2026-04-12Tampa Bay Downs?5th6th−1
2026-03-28Tampa Bay Downs?12th13th−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/1028/039/0722/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1033% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength61%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 10. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/10/20256th40/10%29%+0.29
29/11/20256th20/10%29%+0.29
28/02/20269th7/163%27%-0.36
28/03/202612th40/10%0%0.00
12/04/20265th25/10%20%+0.20
06/06/202612th33/10%0%0.00
09/07/20265th40/10%56%+0.56
02/08/20263rd9/153%60%+0.07
22/08/20261st12/137%100%+0.63