Megacles
3yo Gelding · 8-10 · OR 89
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 3 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.0)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 10th | 9th | +1 |
| 2026-03-29 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 5th | 1st | +3 |
| 2026-03-20 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 3rd | 2nd | +1 |
| 2026-02-21 | Tampa Bay Downs | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 10. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 09/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 04/02/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 21/02/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 29/03/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 15/04/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 17/05/2026 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 03/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 88% | +0.01 |