11
One More Duke
4yo Gelding · 8-13 · OR 77
Gulfstream · Race 10 - Claiming · 1m 110y
#4
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength11%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-17 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Gulfstream | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-05-02 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-04-04 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1056% of fieldRange 3-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength51%
Delivery trend -4.5% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 5th of 10. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 19/02/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 21/03/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 04/04/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 02/05/2026 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 83% | +0.02 |
| 30/05/2026 | 1st | 5/2 | 87% | 100% | +0.13 |
| 03/07/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 17/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 67% | -0.19 |
| 05/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 71% | -0.15 |