Breezey Z
4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 66
Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f
#5
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-23 | Gulfstream | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Gulfstream | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Gulfstream | ? | 10th | 8th | +2 |
| 2025-09-28 | Gulfstream | ? | 6th | 4th | +2 |
| 2025-09-07 | Gulfstream | ? | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-08-08 | Gulfstream | ? | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend +3.2% per run
What the projection says
Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/05/2024 | 2nd | 7/2 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 11/04/2025 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 25/04/2025 | 4th | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 08/08/2025 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 80% | +0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 28/09/2025 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |
| 24/10/2025 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 26/07/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |
| 23/08/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |