1

Starship Vengeance

4yo Filly · 8-13 · OR 63

Gulfstream · Race 2 - Claiming · 5f

#4

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 03/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR 71 · 5f 126 · beat its mark03/04/2026 · OR 71 par3/04C9OR 71C8 @ Gulfstream 12/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 67 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 67 parC8 @ Gulfstream 08/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR 64 · 5f110y Fas 126 · below its mark08/05/2026 · OR 64 par8/05C8OR 64C8 @ Gulfstream 29/05/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 66 · 5f Fas 126 · below its mark29/05/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Gulfstream 12/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR 64 · 1m70y Fas 126 · below its mark12/06/2026 · OR 64 par12/06C8OR 64C8 @ Gulfstream 05/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR 66 · 5f 126 · below its mark05/07/2026 · OR 66 parC8 @ Gulfstream 01/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 66 · 1m70y 125 · below its mark01/08/2026 · OR 66 par1/08C8OR 66C8 @ Gulfstream 24/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fas 123 · below its mark24/08/2026 · OR 62 parC8 @ Gulfstream 05/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR 62 · 5f110y Fas 125 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 62 par5/09C8OR 62projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-08-24Gulfstream?3rd3rd0
2026-08-01Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-07-05Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-06-12Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-05-29Gulfstream?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0429/051/085/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength94%

Delivery trend -1.7% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/04/20261st8/1397%100%+0.03
12/04/20266th20/10%29%+0.29
08/05/20263rd20/10%50%+0.50
29/05/20265th20/10%33%+0.33
12/06/20264th20/10%40%+0.40
05/07/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
01/08/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
24/08/20263rd25/10%67%+0.67
05/09/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08