4

Spirit Of Jamaica

4yo Filly · 8-12 · OR 69

Gulfstream · Race 3 - Maiden Claiming · 1m 70y

#6

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC9 @ Gulfstream 23/05/2025 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR 92 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark23/05/2025 · OR 92 par23/05C9OR 92C9 @ Gulfstream 14/06/2025 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR 90 · 1m110y Fm 118 · below its mark14/06/2025 · OR 90 parC9 @ Gulfstream 15/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 83 · 1m110y 120 · below its mark15/11/2025 · OR 83 par15/11C9OR 83C9 @ Gulfstream 07/12/2025 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR 75 · 1m70y Fas 121 · below its mark07/12/2025 · OR 75 parC9 @ Gulfstream 29/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 69 · 1m70y Fas 123 · below its mark29/01/2026 · OR 69 par29/01C9OR 69C9 @ Gulfstream 26/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR 64 · 1m70y 123 · below its mark26/02/2026 · OR 64 parC9 @ Gulfstream 22/03/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR 59 · 1m110y Fas 126 · below its mark22/03/2026 · OR 59 par22/03C9OR 59C9 @ Gulfstream 12/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR 59 · 1m70y Fas 126 · below its mark12/04/2026 · OR 59 parC9 @ Gulfstream 30/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR 61 · 7f110y Fm 125 · below its mark30/04/2026 · OR 61 par30/04C9OR 61projClass-projected finish: 5th of 5
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-04-30Gulfstream?7th7th0
2026-04-12Gulfstream?4th4th0
2026-03-22Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-02-26Gulfstream?6th6th0
2026-01-29Gulfstream?7th7th0
2025-12-07Gulfstream?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today23/057/1222/0330/04
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 60% of fieldRange 2-6 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength39%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 6.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
23/05/20258th16/116%0%-0.16
14/06/20258th9/153%22%-0.30
15/11/20254th16/116%50%+0.34
07/12/20255th16/116%33%+0.18
29/01/20267th12/137%0%-0.37
26/02/20266th33/10%29%+0.29
22/03/20266th50/10%50%+0.50
12/04/20264th14/126%50%+0.24
30/04/20267th7/163%0%-0.63